A forecasting system produced a net improvement of 1.8 percentage points per quarter across 47 quarters. Directional significance came in at t=1.45, giving the result a concrete receipt beyond “it predicts well.”
what did the forecasting system actually improve?
The system produced a net improvement of 1.8 percentage points per quarter.
That result was measured across 47 quarters, giving the claim a defined performance record.
how much directional evidence did the result have?
Directional significance came in at t=1.45.
That number belongs alongside the quarterly improvement and the 47-quarter sample when describing what the system produced.
why is this receipt more useful than saying “it predicts well”?
“It predicts well” leaves the result vague. The 1.8 percentage point net improvement per quarter, measured across 47 quarters, gives a reader something concrete to inspect, while t=1.45 records the directional significance.
What was the forecasting system’s net improvement?
It produced a net improvement of 1.8 percentage points per quarter.
Across how many quarters was the forecasting result measured?
The result was measured across 47 quarters.
What was the directional significance of the forecasting system?
Directional significance came in at t=1.45.
Why report the numbers instead of saying the system predicts well?
The numbers provide a concrete receipt. They show the net improvement, the period covered, and the directional significance.